03-09-2013, 07:01 PM
Join Date: Mar 2012
Re: 2013 Over/Unders released
Originally Posted by Kingspoint
The Reds took off last year when two things happened:
Rolen was removed from the equation.
Chapman was made the Closer.
Chapman turned out to be heavily responsible for so many victories. He pushed the entire Relief Corps back one player. To expect Broxton to do the same is unrealistic. The Relief Corps is unsettled, a unit for any organization that is questionable from year to year.
Having Rolen completely removed from the equation for all 162 games, including Spring Training, has to be worth a number of Wins.
Cueto must prove his health.
Arroyo must show he hasn't aged.
Votto has to avoid missing large stretches of games.
Phillips has to show age doesn't deliver a blow to his season totals.
Defensively, the new Outfield has to show not too steep of a dropoff without Stubbs.
Ludwick has to show he can perform within 10% of what he did last year.
I can see the reasons for the 88-1/2, mainly because of the loss of Chapman as the Closer.
I have a personal rule to never bet on my favorite teams as I can't separate my prejudices from the realities. I think the Reds will win 96 games.
More Rolen hate.