Re: Joe Posnanski with more data showing that closers simply don't matter
Originally Posted by scott91575
Continually reducing the sample size will of course increase the difference between the good and the bad. Which is great if you are trying to determine which pitcher is better. Yet you cannot throw out overall win percentage increases when determining the overall impact of a closer. The overall win percentage increase puts things into perspective for the overall impact. If there are only 20 1 run game saves in a year, even if a guy is perfect in them, the impact is less than something that impacts a higher number of games. The more things you cherry pick, the more it proves the lack of impact a closer has because you continually lower your sample size. If something only happens 10% of the time, I don't care how good you are at it, the impact is minimized by the lack of occurrence.
There were 4459 "high leverage situations" during last MLB season. there were 4288 "save situations."
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. - Albert Einstein