Originally Posted by scott91575
You do realize for him to fail so bad vs. what Leake did last year it would have to be one of the worst starting performances in MLB history, right? If he is a 5 ERA pitcher that would not be much different than Leake was last year. That is one extra run every 3 starts. For it to be a complete disaster to where it destroys the Reds whole season he would need to have an ERA around 8 or 9. Even then, let's say he starts 10 games where the Reds don't win a single one (which is very hard to do, and might require an ERA over 10). That would be about 5 games worse than Leake last year. The Reds still would have won the division by 4 games last year.
I think if he's this
he could have the kind of impact I'm talking about. Its not just his own stats that matter. All those 5 inning and less outings bring the rest of the staff down as well. Baseball is still a team game. As those type of outings pile up, you'll see worse stats from the pen and the other starters as well.