Originally Posted by Plus Plus
Here's really what the question has become, at least to me:
What's the break point for Chapman to stay in the rotation?
Obviously, if he's kicking down the door and looking like what everyone posting here (except Mike Thierry :P) wants him to look like, then he stays. Obviously, if he can't get through the lineup more than once, he goes back to the bullpen. But what if he is sitting with something like a 3.80-4.10 ERA and looks relatively average-ish? He would be a small upgrade over Leake or Corcino or Cingrani at that point, or he could move to the bullpen and be the Chapman of old.
What's the break point for Chapman?
It would be way more complex than just ERA. It's just way too complex a question. Is the ERA bad because he bagan to wear down? Was he getting hit early or late? Was his 3rd pitch really poor? Were teams simply hitting at a high BABIP? Did he get a minor injury that affected his performance?
The list goes on and on. Just way too much to draw a line in the sand and say "this is the point." The only thing I can say is if he stinks out loud (like I mentioned before), then his value as a bullpen pitcher takes over. Yet being anywhere from 3.8 to 4.8, you need to understand the circumstances.