Originally Posted by scott91575
Wouldn't your argument go against a closer? If runs are harder to come by late, then that is where you put your worst pitcher. It's a self fulfilling prophecy. If teams put their best pitcher on the mound in the 9th, then of course it makes it harder to score runs. If they do it in the 8th, then the 8th becomes the harder inning.
Absolutely not. Runs are harder to come by in the later innings because of the opposing teams bullpen usage. As the game goes along the opposing manager is going to make moves that he thinks gives his team the best chance to win. if there is a situation where the game is close and Joey Votto is up with 2 runners on the opposing manager is going to bring in a loggy to face him. If there is a base open he may decide to walk him.
If you go from facing Bronson Arroyo for 7 innings to Broxton in the 8th and then Chapman in the 9th you go from facing looping curve balls to near triple didget fastballs.
I like what Raisor just said, score 10 runs in the first then everything is moot. Well the opposing team has something to say about that. A game isn't static it is dynamic. It changes as the game goes along. What happens in the first has an impact of what happens later in the game. You can say "well score 3 runs in the first and everything is easier" well 29 other teams in baseball are trying to do that. If your watching a close game late dont you get a little more on the edge of your seat? If a team scores two runs in 8th don't you feel as if the reds chances of winning went down? A one run deficit in the 1st inning means you have roughly 27 outs to tie the score up or not. A one run deficit in the 8th means you have 3-6 outs left to score a run. What happened before hand is really moot the only thing that matters is on the score board.