Originally Posted by Kc61
With today's cuts, I count 31 players (being generous) fighting for 25 spots. Actually, I think it's more like 28 fighting for 25 spots.
There are only 28 guys on the 40-man roster left in camp by my count. 15 pitchers. Two catchers. Six infielders. Five outfielders.
There are 11 listed non-roster invitees still in camp. Of these, I see only Izturis, Burriss, and Olivo with a chance, and that's being generous. Add those three to the 28, you get 31.
I don't know where Prior fits in, but he's not on my list. I'm assuming he's not a candidate to begin in the major leagues.
I would eliminate Olivo and Burriss from serious contention. I would also eliminate Masset who obviously isn't ready.
That leaves just 28 guys in serious contention for 25 spots.
So IMO three guys need to be cut. One will be Donald or Izturis.
The other two will be pitchers. In contention to leave IMO are Leake, Ondrusek, Hoover, Arredondo, Parra, Simon. One or more could be moved. Or some could begin in AAA. Wonder what Simon's situation is, he's been at the WBC a long time.
So the Reds may be closer than it seems to having their team, although a few tough pitching calls to be made.
This is an informative analysis, thank you. It wouldn't break my heart if the Reds close the book on the Arredondo Project. I think there is a lot of upside there, but his inconsistency concerns me. I have liked Hoover since the day the Reds acquired him. Options be damned, he belongs on the big league staff. (Truth be told, I'd rather see him closing than Broxton.)
Let Logan, Simon, and Parra battle for the last spot.