Originally Posted by Edd Roush
There is a difference between voting for a relief pitching prospect and a solid reliever. Right now, Hayes seems to have strike-out stuff, but struggles with throwing strikes. I know he has had a good spring, but he is still not a for sure reliever. Kivel may not be likely to pitch in the major leagues, but if he does, he could be a solid starting pitcher.
I'm the opposite.
I'll take the guy who has a very good chance of making the majors and being a useful spare part (like Chris Manno for instance) over the kid who has a infinitesimal chance of becoming a league average starter. If you want to talk about potential, everyone has potential. Chris Manno could turn into the second coming of John Franco. It's not very likely that happens, but then again it's also not very likely that Kivel ever becomes a major leaguer, much less a league average starter.
At this point in the list, with all the premium talent gone, I would rather err on the side of probability rather than potential. Give me a guy with a high probability of making the majors over a kid with a snowball's chance in Hell of ever realizing his 'potential'.