Originally Posted by Steve4192
I'm the opposite.
I'll take the guy who has a very good chance of making the majors and being a useful spare part (like Chris Manno for instance) over the kid who has a infinitesimal chance of becoming a league average starter. If you want to talk about potential, everyone has potential. Chris Manno could turn into the second coming of John Franco. It's not very likely that happens, but then again it's also not very likely that Kivel ever becomes a major leaguer, much less a league average starter.
At this point in the list, with all the premium talent gone, I would rather err on the side of probability rather than potential. Give me a guy with a high probability of making the majors over a kid with a snowball's chance in Hell of ever realizing his 'potential'.
Agree to disagree then. Useful spare parts are always available via free agency. Good, young starting pitching may be the most valuable thing in all of baseball. Kivel may not ever make the bigs, but in the unlikely event he does reach his ceiling, he has a lot more value than a bullpen arm.