Originally Posted by M2
I think it's fair to say the Reds are in the position of picking between two good decisions. I lean toward starting him as well (and the team has pretty aggressively walked back the report that he'll be closing), but if he's closing I'm not going to be crestfallen.
Same here. I know the rotation isn't broke but I don't want to fix it, I want to improve it. The Bengals made the playoffs last year. The Bearcats made the NCAA tournament. Believe you me, there's plenty of room for improvement for both teams as well as the Reds.
However, the problem with Chapman in the rotation is judging his success. In his first start if he goes 5 innings, strikes out 8 guys and gives up 3 runs, is that a success or a failure? If that's his average for the first 4-5 starts, I think people are going to start to wonder - especially in this instant gratification society - if he should go back to the bullpen - especially if the bullpen blows a few saves. I think some believe that once he's a starter, he will sustain his .81 WHIP, 1.51 ERA, .450 OPS against. If he doesn't meet those expectations, people are going to wonder what's wrong with him. If he's not getting TOR stats and the Reds - by hard luck or whatever reason - aren't winning games he starts in, how long are the Reds going to stick with him in that role?