Originally Posted by Benihana
Leake is a good #5 and probably an average to slightly below average #4. We have gotten spoiled enough not to want to accept that, which is not a bad thing.
The problem with Leake is that I don't think he has enough upside to ever be more than that. Certainly he has some value, but I like my back-of-the-rotation guys to be up-and-comers with the eventual upside to become a front or at least middle of the rotation guy (kind of like what Homer Bailey has been the past couple years). That is why I would prefer an Aroldis Chapman or a Rick Porcello as our #5 starter to a Mike Leake.
I think Leake could be very attractive to San Diego, where he actually could look more like a #3 starter (and play in front of his hometown crowd).
Mike Leake could be a very reliable, steady pitcher. He has good control, throws hard enough, mixes his pitches, gets grounders.
But he cannot continue to give up 26 homers per season. Period.
He gives up a lot of contact. Men are on base. He must refrain from allowing the long ball.
It's really that simple. If he can't cope with GABP then I agree, he'd be better off elsewhere. If he can learn to cut out the long balls, he'd be fine.