Originally Posted by dougdirt
What leads you to believe that? His 2011 success was based on a .272 BABIP. Don't confuse this with me saying he sucks, but I am just not sure I see the improvements coming forth either. Perhaps a little one as his HR/FB rate gets back to the 13-14% instead of 16%.
Experience and dumb luck.
Leake is still learning his craft, and he had a crappy year last season. I expect him to improve a little bit and have a few more bounces go his way this year. I'm not expecting any dramatic improvement, but an ERA+ of 100 (give or take a few points) and his usual outstanding hitting seems likely IMO.