Re: Grantland's Assesment of the NL Central
Thanks, good stuff.
1. I doubt Choo, even if he plays as expected, costs the Reds two wins with his defense. He simply won't play enough in CF to do so. He'll play LF and RF in the 50+ games when Ludwick and Bruce are rested, and likely either replaced or moved to LF in the late innings. Stubbs was outstanding last year defensively, so it will be a drop, but not by much.
2. I see no reason to think Arroyo will revert back to his 2011 production. That's really bad analysis. Arroyo was sick, and last season pretty much erased any doubts about Arroyo, imo. I do think there are big doubts about Cueto and Bailey repeating their 2012 production, and I would have focused on that instead.
We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them. - Albert Einstein