Originally Posted by PuffyPig
Firstly,how can you predict that two players would be inclined to win arbitration cases two years in the future when you have no idea how well they have performed and what they are asking for? The two variables that make up a case are unknown?
And secondly, like any long term signing these days, two much money and too many years. But whatcha gonna do, let your best pitcher walk? You gotta plug your nose and sign the contract if you want to compete these days.
Based on stats used in the cases, Lynn has an All-Star game and a 18 win season that give him a early advantage over the Cardinals he would have to completely tank to wash that out and if he tanks it will set them back needed to sign FA. Its the same reason why Freese asked for the moon and forced the Cardinals to settle for higher than they wanted because he would have won his case if they went to mediation.
Like I said before the guys who are going to make or break them are the group who will be looking for money in the next couple years.
I don't blame them for locking him up but they are paying him for what he was not what he is now and it has a chance to burn them long term if he doesn't find his pre-TJ FB again. He's bound to get hit by the innings load last year after missing all of 2011 so he will be 32.5 when this 5 year deal kicks in likely 3 years removed form his best stuff.