Originally Posted by REDREAD
If we are optimistic and assume that Cingrani is going to be able to be a ML starter next year, it raises a bit of a quandry. Do you extend Arroyo a year or two or keep Leake?
Or do you keep both of them and just try to work Cingrani in later in the season?
I guess the majority of people would favor lettting Arroyo walk due to his salary.
I'm a bigger fan of Leake than most on this board, but if I had to take a bet right now, Arroyo might be more solid in 2014 than Leake.. Is it worth the extra cash for that upgrade? Hard to say.
Leake would be a nice trading chip though, if they decide to keep Arroyo.
Heck, offering Arroyo the 13.3 million one year arb deal (in order to get draft compensation ) might not be the craziest thing in the world. If Arroyo accepts for one year (assuming 2013 is a good year), it wouldn't be bad to have him just one more year. Honestly though, I think Arroyo is underrated here and would be able to get a multiyear FA deal from someone.
Interesting question. Will Arroyo definitely make more in 2014 than Leake? Leake will be 2nd year arb-eligible and Arroyo will be 37 years old. Despite his initial protest after arriving, he seems to love playing for Cincinnati and presumably wants to pitch for a contender in the twilight of his career. Unless Boston or the Yankees offer him a large deal, maybe he is willing to come back on a one year deal for less than $10MM. If so, I'd consider doing that and shipping Leake to San Diego for Austin Hedges and Will Venable (assuming Max Fried is untouchable).
Actually, I'd see what Leake would make in 2014, then offer Arroyo the exact same salary. If he takes it, trade Leake. If he doesn't, let him walk. From a performance standpoint, I'd project them both very similarly for 2014, and I believe Leake has trade value (whereas Bronson is a FA).