Originally Posted by reds44
Jay Bruce has 5 extra base hits this year. 60% of them were in his first 4 games. He's 13-40 (.325) since then, with only 2 extra base hits. He's slugging so low because he's not hitting extra base hits.
All of these numbers means absolutely nothing and he'll likely go on to have a very Jay Bruce year.
In fact, the notion he started slow isn't even really true. Do you think he changed his approach after 13 ABs? There's not a chance. He started 1-13, then went 10-21.
My point? My point is, he probably hasn't really changed anything.
The thought that pitchers are going to give Bruce pitches to drive because they're tired of him being a .255 hitter with no power is just inaccurate, though. The notion that he's "become a professional hitter" now I just don't agree with.
The important point here is that pitchers so far have been able to get Bruce out by pitching him away. He was trying to pull outside pitches, and grounding out or popping them up. So pitchers kept pitching him there with success.
By showing that he will now take those outside pitches the other way for singles, Bruce has shown that they can't keep pitching him out there, especially with runners on base. They want outs.
While they rather give up singles than XBH's, their number one concern is getting outs. If a guy is constantly getting on base against them when they pitch him outside, they will stop pitching him there. They might not challenge him inside, but at the very least, they will stop getting him out with off speed stuff away. That will only be a good thing for Bruce.