Originally Posted by Kingspoint
My question to you:
Why the desire to make a move in April? The organization has spent the last seven years preparing itself for this season with extra emphasis placed during this last Winter and Spring for this season. It takes two months into a season just to get an idea of what kind of team you have, and even then you don't know what kind of season any of the individuals are going to have.
A Manager, and Dusty is as good as anyone at this, tries to use April and May for preparing the players he expects to use the most during the season, while being sure to mix in his subs with enough spot starts to prepare them for the Summer months.
Evaluations were made at the end of March. The next set of evaluations aren't made until June, simply because there isn't enough data to make honest assessments, and even then it's very limited data at that.
The Oakland A's would have never won any of their many, many division titles from the last 18 years if they had made evaluations on their seasons before June. Barry Larkin never would have started 60 games in a season if evaluations on him were made before June. Ryan Ludwick never would uave started 50 games last year if he was evaluated before June.
I appreciate Dusty's professionalism and seniority as a Manager. He knows that Heisey needs and deserves 80+ Plate Appearances in April and another 80+ in May to honestly allow him to develop into the hitter this team needs him to be this Summer. The same goes for Cozart. Hanigan is simply an outstanding Defensive Catcher and any Offense out of him is strictly a bonus.
When June 4th gets here, look at the state of the REDS. The needs will be more obvious.
Why does Chris Heisey need 80 PA in April and another 80 in May "to honestly allow him to develop into the hitter this team needs him to be this summer?" Why can't we make an evaluation based off of his 1000 career major league plate appearances he's already had? Chris Heisey will be 29 this year, and he is what he is. He is not a starting OF on a playoff contending club, nor will he ever be.
Yes, the Reds make evaluations in March. But things changed in a fundamental way: our starting LF and cleanup hitter got injured and is now out for at least half of the season. We decided to keep our best arm in the bullpen, and our best starter is now on the DL. If you don't make adjustments, you die. Not saying the Reds are in danger of that, in fact things couldn't be further from that. But if I'm in charge, and Tony Cingrani proves he is here to stay (outpitching Mike Leake by a mile), I think about making a move to improve the big league club when Johnny Cueto is ready to return. Keeping Cingrani in the rotation (in this scenario) AND improving LF both accomplish that.