Re: The first 12 games of 2012 were worse...
It all boils down to wins and losses. Every team - even the very worst team in the league - is going to win at least 40 games. The Apocalypse would occur before the Reds lost more than 120 games in a season. By the same token, every team - even the best teams in baseball - are going to lose at least 40 games. No team in recent history has won 120 regular season games.
That leaves 82 games that are going to determine the outcome of the season. If the Reds can win 50 of those 82 games, that's 90 wins and that MIGHT be enough to pull out the division as long as the other division teams beat up on each other a little.
The Pirates series, quite honestly, hurts the Reds' pride more that it does our chances. I can't help but think that the Reds will return the favor-AND MORE-later in the year. What would be really sweet is if they could pull that same feat on the Cards and the Brewers at some point.
If the Reds can hang within 5-6 games even with the injuries, they will be in pretty good shape if Cueto doesn't come back until the middle of June.
Opinions are like belly buttons. Everybody has one, and they don't want someone else's shoved into their face.