Originally Posted by Brutus
He has nearly 1,000 plate appearances now. Even if each individual season is too smallish to take too literally, the overall big picture of his entire career should do a pretty good job of telling you what Heisey is. His career says he's about a .735 hitter. That seems pretty reasonable at this point.
Do I think he's either an 88 or a 112? No. I think he's closer to what his career average says... just a nick below average.
But the Heisey you see is a mathematical average, not a baseball player. Chris doesn't perform on the field like the mathematical average you calculate. He never has.
Heisey in 2010 and 2011 was a power hitter who feasted on righties as a part time player. Couldn't hit lefties.
Heisey in 2012 was a weak hitter with 7 homers who had a .680 OPS against righties, hit lefties much better, and had his most PAs, 375.
This year he is off to a terrible start, and he hasn't hit righties at all and lefties only a little better. Total of 18 Ks and 2 BBs.
Large fluctuations in overall stats and splits from year to year. No consistency. And a trend line which is heading lower in most important categories.
That's the Heisey I see. Not the mathematical average you calculate.