Re: Accounting for the bullpen
Originally Posted by bucksfan2
If you take out 5 offensive explosion games of 15,13,11,11,10 and you have a team that is averaging 3.3 runs per game. All stats are skewed early in the season and I think a handful of offensive outbursts skew the numbers even further.
Over the course of a season everything will balance itself out. I have faith that the pen will be a strong suit as the season progresses.
While it's fair to point out that outliers have an abnormally strong effect in small samples, we should be careful about taking that too far. 5 games is 25% of the season so far. If we were to take out the top 25% of games in a full season, we'd probably see a similar impact on the average runs per game.
Perhaps this top 25% is especially high, but taking the best things away and lamenting the rest can be a silly game to play if you read too much in to it.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.