Originally Posted by Marc D
Revisiting an oft discussed trade for consideration now; Homer Bailey to SD for Chase Headley Assumptions are that Cueto comes back 100% healthy and Cingrani shows (by say July) that he's ready.
It's basically an even swap of high end talents that will both likely walk after 2014. The ballpark swaps might give each team the chance to sign their new guy to an extension. The current money and arb money next year both seem to line up about the same as well.
The downside is the long term expense of Headly for the Reds and the obvious risk of using up some of the pitching depth. The upside is a Frazier/Headley left side to go with the Votto/Bruce right side for at least another year and a half. IF Ludwick comes back at any point you have a nice depth problem.
Like most trades, probably a slim chance of getting done but the Pads are definitely shopping Headly and the Reds are most certainly at risk to lose HB at the end of '14. So, again, IF Cueto is back and healthy and Cingrani is still looking solid after a couple times around the league, do you do it if you are the Reds?
Unless this team completely falls out of the race, there is no way this team deals any of its starting pitchers during the season. If things get desperate, and the position ranks are depleted by injury, I might
see them dealing Corcino, but Cueto, Bailey, Latos, Arroyo, Leake and Cingrani aren't going anywhere IMO. Similarly, Chapman, Marshall, Broxton, Hoover and Lecure probably are on the team the entire year.
The Reds will acquire decent, but not huge name, free agents to be for spare parts and secondary prospects if need be, but I just don't see this team having the upper minor legue depth to make a blockbuster during the season.