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05-08-2013, 09:38 PM   #22
nate
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Anaheim, CA
Posts: 6,974
Re: Should the Reds consider dealing Chapman for offensive help?

Quote:
 Originally Posted by TOBTTReds This teams offensive numbers can be twisted though. You could have just as easily have said that the Reds have scored 2 or fewer runs in 13 of our games this year (which I believe is near tops in the league). We've also scored double digits 5 times, which is probably near the tops. A simple stat that you provide doesn't really explain the offenses success or failures. We have scored 38% of our runs in 5 games.
That's not really surprising because that's how math works. Higher numbers = a higher percentage. Every team is going to look like this. If you play 10 games, score 10 runs in 1 game and 10 runs in the other 9, you've scored 50% of your runs in 10% of your games.

Put another way, the Reds have scored 38% of their runs in 15% of their games.

As a comparison, the NL has scored 43% (the closest percentage I could find to 38%) of it's runs in 20% of it's games.

The Reds have scored 2 or fewer runs in 38% of their games.

The NL has scored 2 or fewer runs in 35% of their games.

The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 50% of their games.

The NL has scored 5 or more runs in 39% of their games.

The Reds have scored 1 run in 24% (8) of their games. Then again, they score 4 runs or higher 56% of the time while the league only does that 51% of the time.
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