Re: More talent: Reds or Cardinals?
Cards starters have an 80.4 LOB% and a 5.6% HR/FB ratio.They are outperforming their xFIP by 1.17 runs. Not trying to be a homer but it's hard to say they have a reasonable chance at sustaining that.
Their K rates and BB rates are comparable to the Reds starters. The big difference so far this year has been the longball. In about the same number of IP Cards starters have given up 10 where as Reds starters have given up 28.
Their pen has been used less than any in the NL (84 IP). Its hard to imagine they A) get away with that all year and B) that we can tell if anything is "fixed" or broken yet.
The Cards offense leads the NL in BABIP but it's a reasonable .308. They also lead the NL in BAwRISP .322. Despite all that the Reds offense has scored more runs and they are essentially identical in wOBA.
162 games will reveal all flaws, I think the Cards have more than they have shown to date, specifically in their starting rotation. At least I hope they do.