Originally Posted by mattfeet
And then quite more than $7MM per after that. Not to mention there is a lot of intangibles when signing a young player. You show them you respect, appreciate, and want them for the long haul. If you find the right people to invest in, it'll pay dividends. By your logic, it's not smart to sign away a players pre-arb years, but what happens when a player vastly outproduces his pre-arb years and sets himself up for a healthy raise his first few arb years? Well, now you have to pay market rate when you could have locked him up years prior by showing that trust and making that investment.
It's a risk, but with this Rizzo signing, the risk is minimal.
When he gets to be too expensive, and is a 1B, a good MLB should have replacement ready from the minors.
If Rizzo played any other position, I'd like this deal. But 1B with a nice bat are easy to find and develop. No need to pay big for them, unless they are MVP types. Maybe the Cubs think Rizzo will be like Votto, but to me, he's more like Adam LaRoche.