Originally Posted by DocRed
That's basically my point...the upside of the deal is relatively small, maybe you save a couple million. The downside is he could have a career ending injury tomorrow and you are out $41 million. This is bad risk benefit analysis IMO. I would never bet $41 million to make $2 million in the stock market that's just terrible investing....
That's not the upside though. The upside is that he becomes a perennial Allstar and the Cubs save 10-15 million when the options are all said and done. And that is not considering salary inflation over 7 years.