Originally Posted by kaldaniels
Dave Cameron is more bullish on the deal than I am. He forsees a future where Rizzo is a 30 MM per year player after arbitration. Cameron even says over the final 3 years of the contract the Cubs could save 50 MM. (A bit more than Doc's best
Dave is not God when it comes to this stuff, but he knows what he is talking about more often than not. Having said that, I just find it hard to justify saying this is a "bad" deal.
Aside - Wouldn't this deal be insured to some extent regarding injuries?
It all comes down to what you think of Rizzo. If you think he's special, and will be in the Fielder/Votto/Pujols category, it's a good deal for the Cubs. That's what the Cubs are betting on.
I just don't see it, and would put him more in the LaRoche/Overbay/Napoli category. If that ends up being the case, it's not such a great deal. If he gets hurt or doesn't produce, it's a bad deal.
But the Cubs are run by the guy who drafted him and another guy who traded for him twice, so it's clear they think he's special.