Originally Posted by RedsManRick
Agreed. Too many people don't consider the actual downside here. Lets say he's a 3-4 WAR player every year, how much does he cost the Cubs? They have control for the next 5 years anyway.
I get the value and if I had to bet, I'd say the Cubs come out ahead, but I think people fail to set the appropriate baseline of he would have earned given the range of possible performance outcomes and account the guarantee aspect.
It's a good deal, but with less clearance than many are suggesting. Most of his relative cheapness over that timeframe was already a sure thing.
The guy kinda reminds me of Adam LaRoche. My eyes tell me he has a long swing which I do not like. I think there is a decent chance he becomes a better than average 1b but not a top tier 1b. I also think there is a chance he goes James Loney and is DFA'd before his contract is up.