Re: Joey Votto or Miguel Cabrera?
Pujols's decline illustrates the reason why in the thread about who to keep-Choo or Bruce, that I, along with many other posters, stated we would keep Bruce even though Choo clearly has been the better player, both this season and for the last few seasons. Choo is age 31 while Bruce is age 26.
There are always exceptions of course, but it is a good bet that a player will have his best seasons before age 32 or so. After that, while the player may become more expensive to keep, his production will probably decline. Sometimes a team gets lucky. Sometimes a team gets exceptionally unlucky, as the Reds did when they acquired Ken Griffey Jr. at age 30.
Odd are, if Joey Votto has not already had his "career year" in his MVP season, he will have his peak season in 2013 or 2014. As he ages time will get to him as it gets to us all.
"Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."