Re: Response to Rolen over Frazier
It confuses me too to why a lot of people think Frazier is just going to take off and be this great top 5 MLB third baseman. He had averagish numbers in the minors. In 2011 he looked like a spare piece. He had a great 2012 and definitely earned a spot on the team and in fans hearts, but so far in 2013 he has looked like 2011 Frazier. Couple that with his plate approach and the fact that most of the data suggests a Frazier closer to 2011 than 2012, and it could really be argued that it'd be equally as logical to think he may stay at or slightly above his current offensive level of production.
I don't want this to be true. I'd love to see him take off. I'm a reds fan. I want all of the guys to do great and the team to win, but to automatically assume that a player will repeat career year type numbers when his minor league numbers and his other major league numbers point to him not being at that level is not sound thinking.