Originally Posted by Beatlessp
So I was curious about the current pitching staff and I looked up contracts...wow, so this is what they mean by window:
Pitcher last year under contract
now this is of course barring a long term deal for anybody....I figure Arroyo is gone after this year, Cingrani will be in the rotation next season, that frees up some money (sort of with increases for the position players under contract)...plus TV money increasing in the next couple of years....hopefully by A LOT. so the question is.....and waaaayyy too early to say...Who, if anybody, will be deadline deal if a long term contract cant be reached? Stevenson is probably 3-4 years away at least, Corcino has been inconsistent....Travieso is probably a few years away....could the rotation in 2016 be Cingrani, Travieso, Stevenson, Corcino + maybe one of the current starters?
Looking at the current contracts....rough math is that as of right now, contracts ending + Votto's $7 million drop - increases scheduled for next season, I see about $7.5 million available for Arbitration to keep the current payroll dollars the same....now, if attendance keeps increasing, payroll will go up anyway, plus estimates are for an additional $40 million in TV money...I hope it's higher than that.....
I'm on record that extensions for at least two of Bailey, Latos or Cueto are top priroity. The reality crashing in is when I look at extensions for guys like Matt Cain, Cole Hamels and Ricky Romero and see what they're doing now. I hope Stephenson is ready to become the 5th starter by 2015.
IMO, Leake may price himself out of the rotation as well. Next year, 2nd year arb is probably $5 to $6 Million (more if he keeps pitching well). The following year probably has him in the $10 Million range. Cueto is also gone after 2015.
It may be more likely that the Reds extend one guy (Latos I'd hope), working in Cingrani and add some useful vets to eat innings with Stephenson filling the last spot and hopefully rising to the TOR sooner than 4 years.
I haven't given up on Corcino and wonder if one of Rogers or Contreras may fill a spot, but I really don't want to see more than one rookie in the rotation at a time. A stop gap or two may be required.