Originally Posted by Eric from NC
One good thing for the Reds, is that both Choo and Ellsbury will be free agents. I would assume that there would be a limited market for center field free agents especially when Bourne was on the market this year. Also, some of these stats people would say that you should notto give big money to a CF who is likely to hit under 25 hr a season.
It still will be a lot of money. The worst thing is that Boras tends to hold out for an offer until the last second. I'm not sure the Reds would want to just roll the dice past the winter meetings on a center fielder.
One thing that will hurt Choo is the draft compensation. Unless someone is hurting for a CF, the draft compensation rules will lower his value as it did for Bourne. It wasn't that Bourne necessarily ran into a dry market, it was that not many teams are willing to pay big $$$$ and give up their first round pick. Same thing killed Lohse. Best thing for the Reds is to make a qualifying offer and be glad with their draft compensation.