Originally Posted by mth123
Yep. I've known that part forever. I'm trying to understand why it works that way. If its good for a pitcher, seems like it has to be bad for a hitter. My guess is that we don't know nearly as much about how it works as we like to tell ourselves we do and there is a lot more going on that we haven't figured out yet. Instead we write-off what we can't explain to "luck" and like to tell ourselves that we have all the rest figured out.
Strikeouts and walks are the most predictable of anything the pitcher is doing. Once a ball is in play, pitchers are roughly the same when it comes to there GB/FB/LD being turned into outs. If they are bad at K/BB, there is very little room for them to make up that ground anywhere else. There are a few minor exceptions, but mainly it's out of their hands once it's in play.
Some hitters can actually be good BABIP hitters. Whether they are really fast or they only make contact when they make good contact, it's possible and it sometimes happens. There is a thought that if a guy like Adam Dunn strikes out less, his other stats could go down. Right or wrong, nobody believes if only Homer Bailey struck out less guys he would be more effective.
You will see more hitters turn in productive seasons both statistically and logically with high K rates than you will see pitchers turn in good seasons in spite of a bad K/BB.