Originally Posted by TSJ55
I'm sorry man, but I just can't agree with that. With a runner on 3rd and less than 2 out pitchers will normally work extra hard to work the bottom half of the zone to avoid the sac fly. A pitch up (even to so a hitter who doesn't normally like high stuff) is a mistake. MLB hitters make a living hitting pitcher's mistakes. Why does that lessen the possibility of contact? Especially when the hitter doesn't even have to really step on it to get the job done. Most any fly ball to the outfield will work.
Also, isn't the standard around here that all runs are created equal regardless of when they're scored? A sac fly in the 5th and maybe the home team never even sees the the bottom of 9.
Plenty of fly balls to the outfield won't work. We see it all of the time.
Also, hitters struggle to make contact on pitches up rather than pitches down. You need less bat speed to get to the bottom of the zone than the top of the zone.
As for the 5th/9th, there is a difference. If you go up 1 in the 5th, the other team has a lot of chances still to get it back. So you want to maximize your chances of scoring more than 1 run. In the 9th unless you hit a home run with someone on base, you can only score one run. The runs are equal, but the game situations aren't.