Originally Posted by Blitz Dorsey
I'm going to tomorrow's game. This will be my third game at GABP this season and each time Homer Bailey has been the starter. What's the odds of that? 1/15? Or are they even lower than that? (They told me there wouldn't be math.)
You don't add odds, you multiply them.
.2 x .2 x .2 = 8/10ths of 1 %.
Now, I think your question is what are the odds of getting the same pitcher 3 times.
The first pitcher is 100%. So the odds of getting the same pitcher the next two times is 20% X 20% = 4%.