Originally Posted by REDREAD
Honestly, I like Billy's odds of success better than the other prospects, simply because he's closer to the bigs.
I have a hard time getting excited about any prospect until they make it to the upper minors. As bad as the washout rate is for prospects in general, it is MUCH worse for prospects who are still in single-A or lower. New wunderkinds pop up every year in single-A, and for every one of them there are a bunch more who drop off the prospects lists and are never heard from again.