Originally Posted by kaldaniels
For the trade Bailey in the offseason crowd, what is your plan for the rotation next year?
This is what I think will happen and I'm not there in the front office bringing Walt his morning meds and coffee, so it's an educated guess that all of us could make.
1.) Reds sit down with Bailey before free agency kicks off and offer him a 5 to7 year deal at market value as a #2 starter, they give him till the beginning of free agency. If he signs then Arroyo is out and Bailey is a Red for life more or less.
2.) If Bailey says I want to test the market, then you know he doesn't want to sign long term. You go to Bronson offer him a 2 to 3 year deal for around 30 million.
3.) Bailey is then presented to a # of teams at the winter season meetings and the Reds with the new protections in place for free agency are in a good place. If you get a deal worthy of a #2 starter who is entering his prime you deal him. If not you hold onto him and grab what ever team he signs with the following year their #1 draft pick.
Here are the rules on free agent compensation explained.