Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: New England
Re: It's moving time
7-3 now. Won 9 of 12. Hopefully the Reds put a fork into the Diamondbacks over the next 4.
David Schoenfeld is saying over at ESPN that the Reds are now the team to beat in the Central:
Right now, the Reds are hot, the Pirates are scuffling and the Cardinals are the team everyone bet on at the All-Star break. But it's anybody's race to win, and while all three will likely make the playoffs (the Reds are five games up on the Diamondbacks for the second wild-card slot), only one of the three can win the division. Let's ask some key questions and predict our winner.
Who has the toughest schedule remaining? Here are each team's remaining series against teams currently above .500:
Pirates: STL (3), at STL (3), at TEX (3), CIN (3), at CIN (3)
Cardinals: ATL (4), CIN (3), at PIT (3), at CIN (3), PIT (3)
Reds: ARI (4), at STL (3), STL (3), LAD (3), at PIT (3), PIT (3)
They all have home-and-home series with each other, so no advantage gained there. The Reds have one extra series against a quality opponent, but one big edge they have is 24 of their remaining 38 games are at home and they are 37-20 at home, 33-34 on the road. The Cardinals have a tough slate ahead, beginning Thursday when they have consecutive series against the Braves, Reds, Pirates, Reds and Pirates, but their final 19 games are against current losing teams.
Advantage: Reds and Cardinals. That season-ending stretch should play into the Cards' favor while the Pirates have to finish up at Cincinnati and also have more road games remaining.
Enough … make a pick already: The Reds have been the third wheel in this party all season, but they're finally on a good roll, winning nine of 12. This is the time of season when rotation depth plays a huge factor, as legs get tired and arms get sore. I like the way Cincy's five guys are throwing right now, and I like all the home games the Reds have on their schedule.
I'm picking the Reds now to win the division … putting the Pirates and Cardinals into six minutes of hell.
Fri, Aug 9 Vs San Diego. Reds Win 7-2.
Sat, Aug 10 vs San Diego Loss 1-3
Sun, Aug 11 vs San Diego. Win 3-2
Mon, Aug 12 @ Cubs Win 2-0
Tue, Aug 13 @ Cubs Win 6-4
Wed, Aug 14 @ Cubs Win 5-0
Thu, Aug 15 @ Milwaukee Win 2-1
Fri, Aug 16 @ Milwaukee Loss 6-7 grrr
Sat, Aug 17 @ Milwaukee Loss 0-2
Sun, Aug 18 @ Milwaukee Won 9-1
Mon, Aug 19 vs Arizona Arroyo (11-9) Delgado (4-3)
Tue, Aug 20 vs Arizona Cingrani (6-2) Corbin (12-3)
Wed, Aug 21 vs Arizona Leake (10-5) McCarthy (2-7)
Thu, Aug 22 vs Arizona Latos (12-4) Cahill (4-10)
Fri, Aug 23 vs Milwaukee Bailey (8-10) Gallardo (9-9)
Sat, Aug 24 vs Milwaukee Arroyo (11-9) Peralta (8-13)
Sun, Aug 25 vs Milwaukee Cingrani (6-2) Estrada (5-4)