Originally Posted by KYBatsFan
They've got to step it up against those division foes. They can either take the division or get buried, honestly.
Let's say they go an optimistic 8-5 vs PIT and STL and go, say, 13-8 the w/the other series. That's 21-13 over the last 34 games, which would put their record at 94-68. I think that'd be a lock for at least a WC.
The NL isn't deep with good teams this year, so I think even 90 wins gets a wildcard. But personally, even though it could benefit the Reds this year, I hate this second wildcard with just a 1-game "playoff". Should be best-of-3, but I'd prefer just one w/c team.
The Cards have a bit of an odd remaining schedule...on the front end, it's BRUTAL...including tonight, they play 16 straight vs. ATL, CIN, and PIT, although 10 are @ STL.
But then it's pretty cupcake for them on back end, all 19 games vs. sub-.500 teams (3 games vs. Nats, currently 63-64). And 12 of those will be at home.
Pirates' schedule is a bit more "balanced" in that they oscillate between games vs. good teams and a few vs. not-so-good. They have 18 road, 17 home.
But they also get to finish up with a fairly soft schedule, as final 17 they have 6 vs. Reds, but then 7 vs. Cubs and 4 vs. Padres.
If I had to bet, I'd say Cards pull it out and win the division, Reds vs. Pirates in the 1-gamer.