Originally Posted by mdccclxix
And Jose Reyes has scored 39% in his mlb career, while also score 47% of the time in the minors. Perhaps we should adjust downward for Billy to the 37-40% range for a reasonable outcome in the majors. Reyes was a stealer in the minors but only reached 58 sb in a full season one time, so I don't know if Billy should be adjusted too far down as he's even faster and better on the bases than Reyes.
On the other hand, last year Stubbs scored over 40% of the time, IIRC. But that's not subtracting HR.
Cozart is around 45% this year.
One problem wih with Billy is the lack of pop (which Cozart and Stubbs have). Although the stolen bases are going to help with that. It will certainly be interesting to track the percentage of time that Billy scores next year. Hopefully he does put up his first of many 100 runs scored seasons
Thank you Walt and Bob for going for it in 2012 AND 2013!
Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!