Re: Looking Ahead: 2014 Draft
Originally Posted by HokieRed
I'm starting to worry about this too. If Arroyo thinks that a 30 for 3 contract is about the best he's likely to get, why wouldn't he take a 13-14 million contract for one year? His likelihood of finding a 2 for 16 contract the next year is going to be much higher than getting the 3 for 30 now. If he puts up a good year in 2014, he may get that from the Reds. Making the qualifying offer looks pretty risky to me, though of course one hates to see him walk without our getting any compensation.
With a draft pick attached to signing him, I'm not convinced 3 for $30 is all that likely. I'm thinking 2 for $18 or so with maybe an option on the 3rd year with a small buy-out. Teams that are in the bottom 10 probably won't be interested in a 37 Y/O Arroyo, so a signing team will lose a first rounder. If the money is so high to give them pause, they'll just look elsewhere.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS