Originally Posted by BungleBengals
I think that 5 years is reasonable. Before that? Doubtful. They have the best farm system yes, but it takes more than that to turn a team around that quickly. They are probably going to need to sign a high profile FA or two in order to get things going.........
2012 was when the team was full of FA's acquisitions that had the media calling for a Marlins WS.
2013 was when the team had a fire sale of said FA's and the media calling for a cellar dwelling Marlins season.
Just a few thoughts. The 2012 Marlins was different in that there wasn't a stocked farm system to back a fire sale or to help round out the FA acquisitions. The 2005 Marlins fire sale had 3 top 100 prospects to back the sale, plus other adequate options to help round out the roster.
The 2014 Houston Astros will be in a good position to make a run at good Free Agents, and promote farm system guys to round out their roster for a winning team. Factor in that this year they've been projected to have a net operating revenue of $100 Mil, and next year they are expected to have the same, not only will they have cash reserves, but they'll have a healthy revenue to spend on folks.
My point... by you saying 5 years, you severely underestimate the health of their organization. Their farm is stocked, they've got one of the best player acquisition and development minds at the helm, they are in a large metro area that can support a hefty payroll (80 mil a year alone from TV rights for the team with the worst TV ratings in all of MLB), and cash on hand. It wouldn't surprise me if they had a .500 team next year, but 2015 more likely their big breakout year in my mind.
The Cubs on the other hand, they are definitely on a 5 year plan.
I'm going to bookmark this thread... I'd definitely like to see where they sit next year.