Originally Posted by Kc61
I've always felt that Leake will be as effective as his home run rate.
He's a ground ball pitcher who too often has been burned by the long ball. Just not a good combination.
In 2012 he had a 1.31 HR rate. Not good. In 2013 he was much more effective. .98 HR rate.
In 2012 Leake had a HR/FB rate of 16.7%
In 2013 Leake had a HR/FB rate of 11.5%.
Leake allows too many baserunners to give up home runs. If he can throw ground balls with consistency, he's very good. If he allows a bunch of homers in any particular year, he's toast.
Still young, a lot of positive attributes, a valuable pitcher. But he needs to perfect the art of keeping the ball on the ground and avoiding long balls.
Put better than most all my posts about Leake. And while i love the depth he gives the Reds, He's probably the best trade chip they have right now.