Originally Posted by Hillsdale87
You make it up pretty easily by converting a number of those 4th downs. If you convert on 4th down more often than you punt, you are likely to end up with more yards than had you followed a traditional strategy. And based on the fact that this team has recently won 3 straight championships, I'd guess that teams aren't that excited to play them...
Right. Of course, there's a selection bias at work -- if the team is so good that it can expect to make fourth downs regardless of yards to go or field position, it's probably going to win regardless of strategy. We'd have to have a control group of let-it-all-hang-out-but-we're-mediocre teams to know for sure.