Originally Posted by _Sir_Charles_
.264 in 2012
.330 in 2013
...and you don't think it'll be a huge regression in that category? I think someone's in for a bit of a disappointment.
If everything breaks the same way for both teams and then you simply look at the team additions...then yeah, your narrative is correct. But without ANY roster changes for either club I'd expect simple normalization would nearly flip the standings. Yes, Craig should have more power...but do you expect the rest of the roster to play like they did? Come on, be realistic and rational...look at their career trends.
The RISP will absolutely regress. Overall offensive production won't regress very much though.
The rest of the roster has shown this is how they play. Carpenter probably won't be as good in '14 but he should still be a force. I think he will OPS .840 this year. His MiLB OPS was .858. He is in his prime and is a damn good player.
Who else on the roster performed over their head, even a little?
edit: Sorry, Peralta. Even if he does regress he is still much more productive than Kozma.