Re: What will the Reds record be after 17 of 20 on the road?
Along the same lines as my theory yesterday, I think the goal right now is to lessen the importance of the impending 4 gamer in Houston by winning some before we arrive in Houston.
We play 9 games before facing the Astros. Three at home vs. the Braves and a total of 6 on the road with the Pirates and Brewers. Not a real tough stretch, although I take nothing for granted.
I say shoot for 6-3 over this 9 game stretch prior to the Houston series. 5-4 would be acceptable. Anything less might put us in a tougher position down in Texas. If we take care of business BEFORE the Houston series, then we could afford to lose 3 of 4 without it doing much damage.
If you remember-- in recent years we've actually been in position to make a move in the division at different times and we usually got NAILED in those series. Remember the 4 gamer in Houston last year? Ouch-- possibly the worst exhibition of baseball I've ever seen.
Two years ago, we went 0-6 on a homestand against the A's and Mariners and we never recovered.
Under Boone we always some sort of nightmare stretch of games that destoryed our hopes of competing down the stretch. I'm hoping to avoid one of those this year. By taking advantage of "softer" spots on the schedule, it will allow us to relax a bit more when the tough spots come up.
As I said, I view the season in increments. Right now, I see a 9 game increment that leads into what will be our toughest series so far this year (yes, tougher than the Cubs IMO). How we fare over these 9 games dictates the "feel" for the Houston series.