Originally Posted by flyer85
Let me see.
1) 30 year old 1B with an expensive contract and a bad injury history having a career season
2) 24 year old inexpensive OF whose closest PECOTA comparables are Jim THome and Fred Mcgriff(albeit a low correllation, Dunn is a bit of a historical anomaly).
Which player will get you more in a trade? Look at things objectively and from the point of view of another team. Casey is no doubt having a great season so far. However, he's being paid almost $15M over the next two seasons and it's fairly likely that his option will be vested by next season. That's another $7-8M he'll be owed. In this day and age of clubs looking to get more value for their dollar, Casey may not be seen as a player that would fit that criteria. If Atlanta were inclined to increase payroll they might want him at 1st for them. But they won the division last year with a combination of Julio Franco and Robert Fick and this season they are in 1st place with Franco and a couple of other players manning 1st. It might be nice to have him but they sure don't need him.
Dunn is going to be cheap for another couple of years and he has great power. As noted he's one of the top 10 offensive players in the NL even though he strikes out a ton. Other GMs - especially the Moneyball boys - are going to salivate at the prospect of getting him.
I don't want to trade either player but if you're talking about maximizing return, Dunn is more valuable than Casey.