Reds1 and geo_j. I hope you are right and I am wrong.
As to JR, until I heard the knee thing, him having health problems was the furthest thing from my mind. But first you hear that he twists his knee, then you hear that he has been bothered by tendonitis in that knee for the whole ST. JR is not a top performer when he cannot run or shift his weight during his swing. He may play through it. But will he be an All-Century player?
I threw in Sullivan because there has NOT been a relief pitcher who pitched 500 innings in 5 years since they kept the records. And with Boone as the manager and this rotation, Sully will have to pitch 100 inning plus again this year to be anything less than a disappointment.
And Reds1, if one more poster predicts wonderful things for Larkin even as he hurts and hurts and DL's, I think I will lose it.
As to the rest of my points....their track record speaks for itself. Casey will not be the first "big man" who struggles because of a bad back. Haynes career record with Milwaukee is 20-30 with a 5 plus ERA. Geeesh. Look these things up before you post.
Acevedo was 5-7 with a 5.44 ERA last year for gosh sakes. He has NO track record that shows he will be any better this year. Not saying he cannot be, but come on.
As for Dunn and Casey totaling 76 HR's...LOL. I hope you are right.
And Graves' ERA last season was 4.14. He needs lots of save opportunities to keep his sinker working, and on this staff, his opportunities will be few and far between. Result, look the ERA to keep climbing.
"Is there a problem officers?"