If the starting pitching is the same as last year and offense stays healthy, they go 81-81.
If someone other than Dessens and Davis can step up and give us a few quality starts, we can be contending by June and Bowden will hopefully pull the trigger for another arm.
(maybe).
Until I see how these guys pitch in the spring, I have to go with Marty. 4th (which would probably be 81-81).