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Old 07-11-2002, 03:35 PM   #21
D-Man
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Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 790
</font><blockquote><font size="1" face="Verdana, Arial">quote:</font><hr /><font size="2" face="Verdana, Arial">Originally posted by backbencher:
<strong>D-Man

I have a follow-up to Hoosier Red's question about distinguishing between players and their teammates (plus, I like to see this thread toward the top).

Suppose two teams are IDENTICAL statistically, and each of their component parts is identical statistically, with the only difference being a handful of wins. Say, a team with all the attributes of the 2001 Reds but with two extra 1-run wins and an extra 2-run losing margin in a blowout. All team ERAs, BAAs, OPSes, etc. would be equal. The hypothetical Reds team would have 6 extra win shares to distribute. Who gets them? Couldn't Casey, or whomever, get an additional share?

Forgive me if I misunderstand the methodology. I have not read the book.</strong></font><hr /></blockquote><font size="2" face="Verdana, Arial">So you're asking, what if the # of team wins doesn't match with the actual performance of that team's players? I.e., what if a team got more wins than it otherwise could've expected, and how do you distribute those extra wins?

Well, to be perfectly frank, I don't know yet!!! I didn't read the entire explanation section of how the win shares system is allocated (the explanation of the long method is more than 100 pages). I only got throught 25 or so pages before I decided to skip ahead to the "random essays" part of the book (I always enjoy James's essays). I've also spent a lot of time looking through the various lists and charts. . . I'm kinda working my way backwards.

Perhaps this will serve as an impetus for you to buy the book!

<small>[ 07-11-2002, 02:37 PM: Message edited by: D-Man ]</small>
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