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12-14-2004, 07:21 PM   #77
Red_BlueDevil
Member

Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Virginia Beach, VA
Posts: 26
Re: Strike out = to any other out?

Quote:
 Originally Posted by BadFundamentals You're trying to say that there is a positive correlation between a hitter's strikeouts and his offensive contribution??
No thats not what he's saying at all.

Listen, Here's the point and its a simple one:

1. for some reason X, if you plug all of the variables that we can measure regarding a pitcher's performance into a predictive equation, a variable that is highly correlated (read: predictive) with how "good" he is, is the number of Strikeouts he gets.

2. for some reason Y, if you plug all of the variables that we can measure regarding a batter's performance into a predictive equation, a variable that is not correlated at all (to a point of having probably NO correlation - read: no predictive value) with how good he is, is his number of strikeouts.

Those are the facts BF, they are what they are. Now we can argue until we're blue in the face (as I'm sure you must be by now) what reason X is and what reason Y is, BUT what we can't argue about is what the numbers tell us.

Unless, a predictive value of greater than 95 % isn't impressive to you.