Originally Posted by michst
Ok I lied about the 60 runs that Ortiz and Milton would have saved us.
Acevedo (157 IP,144 Earned Runs), Van Poppel (115,78), Claussen (66,45), Sanchez (14,12) together pitched 352 innings and gave up 279 Earned Runs.
If Ortiz and Milton pitch 180 innings and have the same adjusted ballpark ERAs as last year - (4.13 for Ortiz, 4.33 Milton) They would give up 83 and 87 Earned Runs or 170 in 360 Innings.
Thats a savings of 119 Runs right there. If you don't adjust their ERA's its still a savings of 90 Runs.
Who replaces Lidle? And why are you taking the low estimate on Ortiz when his work as a starter was far less encouraging?
Every year, during and after the season, folks identify the worst pitchers on the staff and insist the new guys who've come in will improve the mix. And every year they overestimate the quality of the new guys and underestimate the teeming reservoir of bad pitchers the Reds still have to draw upon to pitch innings for their team.